Can terror financing sanctions on Iraqi militias impact Iran’s proxy strategies?

Can terror financing sanctions on Iraqi militias impact Iran’s proxy strategies?

In a 2025 campaign against the militias supported by the Iranian regime in Iraq, the United States has significantly expanded its penalties not only on the organizations, but also on the financial networks supporting them. On September 17, the official designation of four large groups, namely, Harakat Hezbollah al Nujaba, Kataib Sayyid al Shuhada, Harakat Ansar Allah al Awfiya and Kataib al Imam Ali as Foreign terrorist groups by the U.S. State Department took place. These are added to a greater array of militias that have been endorsed previously such as Kataib Hezbollah and Asaib Ahl al Haq.

The practical effect of such designations is the expanded powers of the U.S. Treasury and Department of Justice to interfere with global financial access, freeze assets and prosecute followers of these militias with anti-terrorism legislation. The treasury enforcement has also extended their operations to the related industries- such as the air transport and fuel smuggling operations that are used to finance illegal activities as well as direct cash transfers. Officials claim that these entities operate through the use of layered financial transactions, informal brokers and business fronts in the region to transfer money to and out of the region without detection.

The U.S. financial intelligence agency (FinCEN) adopted a 2025 advisory warning that Iranian-linked entities are using the so-called shadow banking systems. According to the words of the Under Secretary, Brian Nelson, the aim is still to curb the destabilizing role of Iran by attacking the financial facilitators of Iran in the region.

Iranian Strategy: Deepening Proxy Networks And Funding Streams

Dependence on the proxy militias has been one of the most strategic pillars in Iran in the region, particularly in Iraq where both the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Qods Force continue to have an old-time footing. Those militias are used as part of the ideological and geopolitical goals as Tehran can exercise power without sending troops to war.

Iran has since 2003 nurtured an alliance with the paramilitary groups that are part of the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF). The networks are maintained by a combination of cash flows, shipments of weapons, and training, most of which were organized by the Qods Force. Despite being under years of economic sanctions, Iran has consistently found ways to fund these relationships through alternative financial routes.

Adapting To Sanctions With Parallel Systems

Iranian-linked groups have become adept at bypassing formal banking systems. Treasury documents in 2025 detail how Iranian proxies use legitimate Iraqi companies including airlines and logistics firms as conduits for moving funds. Oil smuggling remains a major channel, often executed via small ports and intermediaries in the Gulf and Eastern Mediterranean.

US congressional testimonies this year described Iran’s financing tactics as “flexible and adaptive,” with an ability to transition quickly from bank transactions to commodity trades or real estate investments. In response to new sanctions, Tehran has reportedly increased direct cash shipments to its proxies and ramped up the use of cryptocurrencies and unregulated financial tools.

The Practical Impact Of Terror Financing Sanctions

Sanctions undoubtedly raise the cost of operations for targeted militias. Payments to fighters are delayed, procurement becomes more complex, and international business partners grow wary. However, this disruption rarely dismantles the groups’ core capabilities. Much of their operational base remains locally funded and politically shielded within Iraq’s evolving institutional structure.

Despite frozen assets and international pressure, many of these militias receive part of their budget from the Iraqi government. The PMF’s annual funding has doubled in recent years, backed by Parliament votes from Iran-aligned parties. This means some sanctioned groups can rely on state salaries and logistical access, even while being on U.S. watchlists.

Limits To Financial Pressure

A persistent point of view has been that (though not the most decisive) aspects of the Iranian proxy strategy, including ideological alignment, training on the battlefield, and supplying advanced weaponry, are not covered by financial sanctions; this has been argued by analysts like Ariane Tabatabai and Colin Clarke. Monetary pressure alone is not enough as in Syria and Yemen, proxy resilience is often a result of non-financial aid.

The fact that these groups have persisted regardless of cyclic designation suggests that sanctions are needed, but serve to contain and not destroy. They slow, but do not halt, Iran’s influence-building operations.

Iraq’s Internal Dynamics And The Limitations Of Sanctions

In July 2025, Iraq’s Parliament introduced legislation to formally integrate militia leaders into security decision-making structures. This legal codification of previously informal relationships provides militias with institutional legitimacy and access to public funding streams.

As these groups deepen their involvement in Iraq’s bureaucracy, their finances become increasingly domestic beyond the reach of foreign sanctions. This evolution presents a structural challenge for U.S. policy: financial pressure becomes less effective when the groups are no longer dependent on foreign transfers but on internal revenue and political power.

Civilian Impact And Blowback Risk

On the ground, people who monitor the situation in Baghdad and Basra warn that broad-spectrum sanctions have the unintended effect of spurring local instability. In places that have militants, civilians can be dependent on such groups either in terms of services or work or even safety. The loss of foreign aid may exaggerate extortion, black market taxation or pressurize local companies to repay the income.

In addition, the threat of retaliatory attacks especially on U.S or coalition assets increases especially following big financial crackdowns. Iran supported groups have already promised to strike diplomatic compounds and provide convoys to counter the alleged economic aggression and further complicate the stability calculations in the region.

Balancing Pressure And Policy Realities In 2025

The U.S. financing of terror cases in Iraq negates the persistence of the effort to cripple the infrastructure of Iranian proxy influence. The success of this strategy is however uneven. It manages to produce disruption on a short-term basis and diplomatic signaling but fails to permanently disrupt established networks.

Militias have also diversified their sources of revenue, switched to informal economies and become part of Iraqi systems of governance. Such changes mean Washington has to change its instruments not only to sanction but also to invest strategically in capacity building locally, political responsibility, and other security institutions.

Sanctions continue to be an important part of a larger instrument, but their independent use is becoming less useful. With the distinction between the state and non-state actors becoming even more indistinct, future policy may be required to focus on multilateral cooperations, regional counter-financing partnerships, and deterrence based on development.

The proxies in Iran do not remain the same, they learn and develop. The question is whether U.S. policy can evolve fast enough to keep pace.